could romney actually do that? >> i'm more bullish on romney winning but i'm a little bearish on getting to 330. i think high 280s to low 300s is more like it. you have a storm going up the atlantic seaboard. romney's had one surge in the last three weeks which has made him competitive to ahead in several battleground states. the question is does he have a second surge come the final weekend of the election. what happened in 1980, reagan had one surge after the debate but then he had a gigantic surge the final weekend. reagan upon 50.1% of the popular vote in 1980. and he won 90% of the electoral college because all these midwestern states tumbled to him. >> right. the first debate was a blowout for romney. the second and third debates, it's possible president obama won on little technical points, although it was very close. look at these polls coming in. "the washington post"/abc poll today, for the first time -- they've switched to likely voters for the first time, romney gets his 50%. i believe obama's 47%. that